Phew!

Electoral calculus has analysed the latest opinion polls and moved Gloucester back to a ‘Labour Hold’ from the ‘Conservative gain’ that it had it as last month. Overall it predicts that "Labour will be 21 seats short of a majority with 305 seats" which is 25 seats more seats for Labour than the previous analysis predicted on 3 September.

Not bad for a government only sixteen months into its third term....